← Grand Archive TCG Weekly Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
Fire ExiaTier 2
at Grand Archive TCG Weekly Standard @ Evergreen Games Shoppe
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.4%
avg ELO -1.9 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1188
· median 1188
· range 1188–1188
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1085
Q1 1175
Q3 1244
1289
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Neos | 25.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
